Poorer Households Need Support to Move After Natural Disasters, Finds US Study

New Orleans in the wake of Hurricane Katrina in 2005

26 January 2023 – by Cosmo Sanderson

Households on the Atlantic coast of the United States are moving inland after natural disasters, according to a new study, but those on low incomes are being left behind. 

Poorer households that don’t receive support to leave disaster-prone areas are far less likely to than those on higher incomes, the study found.

It concluded that there is a need for “incentivising and aiding” the migration of vulnerable populations who are less likely to do so on their own. 

Two researchers from the University of South Carolina released the study last year in the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management.

One of those researchers, Tamara Sheldon, an associate professor of economics at the university, recently told US publication The Post and Courier that there is not much empirical research out there on “human migration following natural disasters in developed countries.”

Her study relied on US census data collected in states on the country’s east coast between 2005 and 2017.

The study found that rising sea levels and an increase in the frequency and severity of natural disasters due to climate change are “increasing the risk” of living in vulnerable areas. It also raises the economic costs of having populations clustered on coast lines.

People are not necessarily more likely to move following less severe disasters, but the study found they are more likely to do so as disasters become “increasingly destructive”. However, households on the lowest 25% of incomes are far less likely to relocate without support from the US Federal Emergency Management Agency.  

Recent hurricanes to batter the US Atlantic coastline include Hurricane Florence, in 2017, and Hurricane Ian, last year.

Other countries to recently be hit by global warming-fuelled extreme weather events include Pakistan, where over 30 million people were displaced last year by historic floods that left a third of the country underwater. Flooding also devastated South Sudan last year, while, on the opposite end of the spectrum, two million people are currently displaced by drought in the Horn of Africa. 

Two Million Displaced by Drought in Horn of Africa

10 January 2023 – by Cosmo Sanderson

Over two million people have been uprooted in the Horn of Africa as the region suffers its worst drought for generations. 

UNICEF last month released the latest estimate of how many people have been internally displaced by the drought across Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia.

Other bleak statistics released by the children’s aid agency are that over 20 million children are threatened by severe hunger, thirst and disease – up from 10 million in July. 

Nearly two million children in those three countries are thought to need urgent treatment for severe acute malnutrition, which UNICEF says is the deadliest form of hunger. A further four million children are at risk of dropping out of school. 

This has been caused through a combination of the climate crisis, conflict, global inflation and grain shortages that continue to “devastate” the region, says UNICEF. 

“While collective and accelerated efforts have mitigated some of the worst impact of what had been feared, children in the Horn of Africa are still facing the most severe drought in more than two generations,” said Lieke van de Wiel, UNICEF deputy regional director for Eastern and Southern Africa. 

In a report published last month, the NASA Earth Observatory went further in saying that the Horn of Africa is experiencing the “longest and most severe drought on record”. 

To make matters even worse, UNICEF says the region is now facing an “unprecedented” fifth consecutive failed rainy season, with a poor outlook for the sixth as well. 

Last year, the International Organization for Migration launched a new project to provide emergency relief to those displaced by the crisis in Somalia. 

Elsewhere in Africa, including South Sudan and Nigeria, erratic weather conditions have led to devastating floods that have also resulted in mass displacement. 

The World Bank has previously predicted that there will be 85.7 million climate migrants in sub-Saharan Africa by 2050.